FIRST ALERT FORECAST: Briefly warming up ahead of our afternoon front; severe threat lessens thanks to longer than expected fog

FIRST ALERT FORECAST: KPLC 7News at Noon - 12 p.m. February 12, 2020

LAKE CHARLES, La. (KPLC) - Admittedly, the fog stuck around a bit longer than anticipated this morning, but that has kept temperatures a little cooler and further stabilized the atmosphere to help keep storms weaker over SE Texas this morning.

The Storm Prediction Center continues to back away in its severe outlook for the entire state today, instead shifting the focus of strongest storms over parts of Mississippi and Alabama later in the afternoon and evening.

Rainfall amounts with today’s front look to stay at or less than 1 inch, so no flooding is expected and any leftover showers should end closer to midnight. In addition, gusty northwesterly winds will send temperatures down into the upper 40s by Friday morning and help push in drier air and clear the skies through the day on Thursday. Even with some sunshine, temperatures won’t warm much above 60 during the afternoon.

We can expect a frosty start for a lot of Southwest Louisiana on Friday morning as lows drop into the upper 30s. I don’t expect any freezing temperatures, but lows will be cold enough for frost perhaps as far south as Lake Charles. A wonderful day is on tap for Valentine’s Day with highs in the upper 50s.

Clouds will begin to increase through the day Saturday in advance of a couple afternoon or evening showers possible. The stubborn subtropical jet and a series of upper level disturbances will kick in rain chances on Sunday, with passing showers possible during the morning and possibly afternoon, although Sunday should not be a full washout. Highs will also warm back into the 70s for much of next week until another front arrives later in the week. Daily rain chances can be expected to resume most every day next week.

First Alert Meteorologist Ben Terry

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