There is certainly a tropical feel to the air across Southwest Louisiana as our weather is now being totally influenced by the disturbance down over the West Gulf.
This disturbance will be the big factor in the unsettled weather pattern that looks to evolve over the next few days. The good news is the circulation center with this area of low pressure is moving into South Texas this afternoon, so tropical development is not likely to occur given the close proximity to land.
The bad news is this disturbance has opened the flood gates to an abundance of moisture over the Gulf of Mexico, and this moisture will bring very good rain chances for the start of the holiday weekend. Friday may very well be much like Thursday with sunshine to start before a line of passing storms rolls through the area around lunchtime. This may lead to a drier afternoon, but clouds will likely stick around throughout much of the day.
Moving towards the start of the holiday weekend, rain chances will increase even more. This is because the low pressure area over South Texas will slide across our area as it is picked up by a frontal boundary. Expect off and on periods of showers and storms on Saturday with some potential for heavy rainfall.
Eventually all of this mess pushes off to the east for Sunday as we bring a drying trend into the forecast. Now I cannot take rain chances totally out of the forecast for Sunday and Monday, but the rain and storms will be considerably lower in coverage on those days. The great news in all of this is highs over the next few days will struggle to break 90 given the clouds and rain.
The tropics are quite active, but there are no immediate threats to any land areas at this time. Outside of the disturbance moving into Texas, we are watching Cristobal which is heading out to sea and also a tropical wave moving through the Caribbean. The wave over the Caribbean could possibly reach the Southern Gulf next week and when that occurs, we will have to monitor it for tropical development.
Have a great Friday!
7Stormteam Meteorologist Zack FradellaCopyright KPLC 2014. All rights reserved.